Sunday, March 27, 2011

James Turk : Gold should be in backwardation even though interest rates don't show it.

In a recent interview with www.mineweb.com James Turk said that Gold is not just another commodity : JAMES TURK : No definitely not - because gold is not like other commodities. Gold is in fact not a commodity it's money. It's a tangible asset like other commodities but it is in a different asset class within this tangible asset group. Commodities are consumed and they disappear, gold does not get consumed, it doesn't disappear, it continues to be accumulated every year, there's about 1.5% more gold added to the above ground stock of gold - and the reason why gold is accumulated in this way is because it's money and as a consequence it has an interest rate structure that is determined by the market, so gold should be in backwardation even though interest rates don't show it.

The case for $750 Silver - The Dow / Gold Ratio

Silver will surpass a 16-1 Gold ration. It will probably be 1-1 Gold ratio considering Silver is rarer than Gold. the FED is buying 70% of the treasuries. Cash is going to crash , and metals to the moon. Hi ho silver My estimate was 666, i've been studying markets for 10 years now
Guess what gold to silver ratio 15 to 1
Gold $10k Silver $666 , If for instance you put $10,000 in the bank for a year at 6% you make $600 in 1 year which is probarbly less than inflation so you are loosing money in relation to spending power. However, if you put it in to silver for 1 year and it goes up 30%- 50% you make far far more than inflation and are actually improving your finacial position in relation to everyone else who keeps fiat. If silver goes up 1000% your position will be drastically improved in relation to fiat holders.The m1 money supply in late 1970s was $370 MMM. The money supply today is $1872 MMM or a 5:1 ratio

I read the other day that at the current price the entire silver market is only worth around $36 Billion. Well, look at how many billionaires existed in the late 70's and early 80's compared to today and think about how easy it would be for a few of them to start buying it all up. It would make those old Hunt Brothers highs look like pennies on the dollar.

As much as China is buying, and all the short positions,..I can see that. What about JP Morgan Chase getting a COMEX vault license to take delivery on silver
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