In some parts of the world gold is viewed as the protector of wealth. In North America, gold is viewed as a speculative investment. Our economists regard a rising gold price as an admission of defeat, and their disparaging attitude toward higher gold prices took on a more desperate tone in 2010. Nevertheless, gold had another remarkable year, up 25% in 2010, its tenth straight annual gain. Meanwhile, over the same 10-year period, five major currencies -- the US and Canadian dollars, the euro, the British pound and the yen -- have lost between 70% and 80% of their value. In reality, gold is not rising; currencies are falling in value, and gold can rise as far as currencies can fall. Nick discusses the three dominant medium-term trends that pushed up gold prices in 2010 (central bank buying; movement away from the US dollar; China) as well as three longer-term, irreversible trends that will put upward pressure on the gold price for years to come (the aging population; outsourcing; peak oil). In addition to these trends, more and more investors will be competing to buy a shrinking gold supply. As safe-haven demand accelerates, there will be a transition from the $200-trillion financial asset market to the $3-trillion above ground gold bullion market. About half of that $3 trillion is held by central banks as reserves; the remainder is privately held, and not for sale at any price. If the world's pension and hedge funds moved only 5% of their assets into gold, it would trade at over $5,000 per ounce. Nick's conclusion: Without any new financial crises, both mid- and long-term trends indicate that gold -- and silver -- will continue rising through 2011 and well beyond.
Related ETFs : Ishares Silver ETF (SLV), SPDR GOld ETF (GLD) SPDR GOld ETF (GLD), Powershares DB SPDR Gold ETF (GLD), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), GoldCorp (GG)
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Shortages developing in the Gold Market as demand soars
China and India remain key driers to the gold market , they totally now account for over fifty percent of both bar and coins investment and jewelery demand on a regular basis ....demand remains strong , in both these countries the saving rates are much higher than in western countries and gold is very easily available liquid asset unlike western countries , China used to make no net contribution to the Gold market they would consume their entire gold mine production and have no net effect , last year they imported 260 tons , this year they are going to import well over 300 tons may be as high as 400 tons i 2011 , s there was a huge shift on the demand side of this market , this is a market in deficit not in surplus , mine production is rising but it is not rising fast enough to keep pace with the growth of demand - Marcus Grubb, managing director of investment research at the World Gold Council
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Marcus Grubb
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