Tuesday, June 16, 2009

What's driving the Oil Rally ? is it an Oil Bubble ?

The crude oil prices doubled in less than 6 months going from $35 to the $70 of last week , are these real fundamentals driving the prices do people really believe that the economy has recovered ? or is it just another speculatory bubble ready to burst in short term ..there is a wave of commodities money coming into the market as a hedge against inflation , this is not a rally you could rely on , the soaring demand is missing from this rally , this has nothing to do with last years rally which was driving by the demand and shoots crude oil prices to a record of $147 a barrel , there is also the dollar factor which is in a stronger place this year than it was last year

Housing market's false hope

commercial and residential Real Estate prices have been falling for three years now and these things do not tend to reverse themselves quickly Economist Robert Shiller Economics professor at Yale University tells CNN that the recent boost in consumer confidence won't link to a turnaround in the housing market.On the other hand while confidence is up unemployment is rising sharply we are at 9.5 % and it will even rise higher . Nouriel Roubini talks about 11% unemployment in 2010...

New Agency to watch for Credit Cards and other financial products

President Obama is expected to unveil a new government agency Wednesday that will watch over financial products offered to consumers such as Credit Cards , Mortgages ...consumer product safety commission ...the last bust in the economy was partially caused by the fact that many people took on mortgages that they could never pay in a million years and they were taking on loans on credit cards that had 25% or 30% interest rates , people should be more responsible but financial companies should be more responsible too , and that's what's this watch dog agency is all about
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