Silver Prices in the Event of a Comex Default

By Dr. Jeffrey Lewis January 4, 2013

 If and when the Comex silver market implodes, so should the paper market for silver. Nevertheless, can this happen and will it happen?



Also, if a Comex default does occur, what are the likely scenarios and aftermath that will impact silver traders and the price of silver? The following sections explore the increasingly likely possibility of a Comex default in further detail.



Inability to Deliver Physical Silver

Perhaps the most likely scenario of a Comex “default” would involve the inability to deliver physical silver into its futures contracts due to a pronounced and protracted physical metal shortage.

In this case, those holding paper certificates instead of actual physical silver will probably be settled at the cash value of their position once the physical delivery problem finally comes to a head.

At this point, trading in silver futures on the Comex will probably also be halted temporarily while the market figures out the real price of physical silver.

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